地缘冲突与国际格局（2022～2023）

Abstract:In 2023，global geopolitics is still characterized by turmoil and change. In the Asia-Pacific region，China and the United States have resumed high-level communication. The decline in bilateral relations has slowed down and has eased in some areas，but the core issues have not been resolved. By testing our red lines in the Taiwan Strait，joining forces with Japan，South Korea，India，and the Philippines，the United States accelerates the speed of weaving the network of encirclement to contain China. In Europe，the Russia-Ukraine conflict continues，and the geopolitical confrontation between Russia and the West is confirmed by Western official documents. In general，the strength of Russia and Europe has both declined，rendering the latter more dependent on the United States. The spillover effect of the Russia-Ukraine conflict is felt by the international society，and the “Global South” have maintained neutrality and made efforts to mediate in the Russia-Ukraine conflict. In the Middle East，as relations between Saudi Arabia and Iran further thaw，a new “reconciliation wave” has emerged in Islamic countries；in the context of great power competition，Middle Eastern countries are pursuing independent foreign policies；the Palestinian-Israeli conflict has intensified，which may have a huge negative impact on Middle East reconciliation. Affected by the conflict between Russia and Ukraine，global energy prices and local food prices soared，driving up level of fragility of African countries. Many African countries have seen rampant turbulence. However，Africa’s overall political influence has increased.

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